Regional Fed Presidents, whose vote holds equal weight to that of the chairman, are already indicating that their wait-and-see stance is further warranted by the conflict. Cleveland’s president, Beth Hammack, said rates could be held for “quite some time,” with Iran presenting a new inflationary risk. Likewise, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said this week he was growing less confident about his previous estimation of a 25bps cut this year, explaining: “With the geopolitical events, we need to get a lot more data in.”
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The advisory body will meet on Wednesday, while China’s legislature, the National People’s Congress (NPC) – which removed nine generals last week – will start its annual session on Thursday. Collectively the concurrent meetings are referred to as Two Sessions, one of the most important events in China’s political calendar when thousands of delegates arrive in Beijing.